Tropical Storm Earl threatens to hit Belize Wednesday night orThursday morning with howling winds, heavy surf and torrential rainfall.

The storm was likely to be upgraded to a Category 1 hurricane (sustained winds above 74 mph) before making landfall, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Portions of southern Mexico and Honduras are also at risk; all three countries have posted storm warnings.

Earlier in the week, Earl grazed the Cayman Islands and Jamaica with heavy rains. On July 31, Earl was a weaker tropical wave but knocked down power lines that started a fire, killing six passengers on a bus in the Dominican Republic.

If upgraded, Earl would be the second hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. The first was Alex, an unusual January hurricane. 

Peak hurricane activity in the Atlantic region usually occurs in August and September, due to warm sea surface temperatures.

In May, the NHC forecasted more hurricane activity this year compared with the last few years.

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